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Real estate in Moscow, S/sq. m. the Okt. 16 To Sep. 16
Cost index (environments. The level of housing prices) 2 755 points + 1,9 %
The index of price expectations (the rate of adultery. Housing price) +0,6 % /month.. - 0,2 %
Profitability index of housing (cf. Housing from Bank. It PL.) 1.7 DEP - 0, 6 b.d

October has finally confirmed that the attempts of the Moscow square metre to grow with the arrival of autumn was not a success. Moreover, market activity and volume of transactions, the fall was worse than the summer – autumn growth is lost about 10%. This situation once again confirms the thesis, not just marked on IRN.RU any artificial increase in demand then it will result in stagnation.

During the summer both sellers and officials actively frightened home buyers the inevitable price increase since the beginning of autumn. As a result, the market activity and sales volumes during the summer were abnormally high, but the fall of retribution has come. For the first time in many years, and the activity of buyers, and sales volumes were lower in autumn and summer months, and that was to be expected. In the current environment, effective market demand is limited, and if for some reason it is accelerating the exhaustion, then the market takes pause to recover.

Have been frustrated and hope that the fall of real estate prices in Moscow will go to growth. Rather, many market participants tried to play it on the increase, considering the high summer activity is the key to the continued growth of all indicators. However, prices nothing but beating around the Bush, autumn actually did not bring.

According to the analytical center for the month of October the dollar index value of housing is added about 2%. However, this is nothing more than a result of the strengthening of the ruble over this period. Ruble-denominated index, by contrast, was lost in October around half a percent. In sum, the growth of a half percent in September remains around 1% of the total ruble-denominated growth in the fall compared to summer. In fact, the average level of prices in the last months of twitches around the level of 175 thousand rubles per square meter, with variations of plus or minus 1-2% and do not show any consistent trends.

It is noteworthy that the dynamics of prices and types of apartments and geography, and also does not reflect any trends and even any logic. So, in October, showed himself two-bedroom apartments, and two-bedroom were the worst. While closer to the averages behaved "edge" of the market – "odnushki" and multi-room apartments.

Similarly, in the context of the types of houses better than the market in equal measure were all of the building and a modern monolith-brick house, and worse than average – modern bar and the old "elitka" - Stalin's house and other brick of the Soviet era.

Geography is the most expensive Central district even went down, while the next prestige and expensive Western suburbs proved to be the best of the market, along with the entire East and North of the capital. In this South-Western suburbs at the end of the list, and all areas outside Moscow, on average. This state of Affairs suggests that with the advent of autumn, market participants behaved in relation to the prices of flats according to the principle "who in what is ready". Not surprisingly, sales volumes were lower in autumn and summer. It is not only exhausted for the summer effective demand, but in the autumn and sometimes inadequate pricing policy of some sellers, which now gradually aligned.

Price indices for apartments in Moscow computed without regard to luxury housing and non-standard apartments that can distort the overall picture, usually in the direction of increasing indices. Also indexes contain adjustments to the prices of actual sales, which makes them a little lower inflated bid prices.

However, of course, the situation is not so categorical and some sellers were able to realize their items are more expensive, in particular, has increased the price of the Moscow buildings. On the one hand, it is, but on the other - the growth of prices for new buildings should be interpreted with caution. Usually from the initial to the final stage of construction of the new building should rise in price by 20-25-30% – this is the practice of many years. And it's not that then the market was different, and in the value of money over time.

If you do not take extreme chances, most of the time over the past 10-15 years, the deposits brought about 8-10% per annum (depending on the Bank and the parameters of the Deposit). Construction of an apartment building usually takes 2-3 years, so during this period, funds on Deposit should bring 20-25-30%. And that means that buying an apartment at the stage of excavation must be different from the price at the final stage by the same amount. Two paths need to be economically equivalent, to buy an apartment at the initial stage cheaper or at the final stage, but more expensive by the same amount, which is able to work out the money, put at least a Deposit.

Let now the price of new construction is also gradually increasing, but now from the initial to the final stage increment is no more than 5-10% instead of 20-30%. This means that during the construction of the new building is implicitly depreciates the difference of these values, i.e. by 15-20%. Simply put, the buyer becomes more profitable not to take the apartment at the initial stage, and put the money on Deposit until the house is built. Then he will buy the finished apartment is more expensive by 5-10%, and the Deposit will add to his savings for the construction of a house by 20-30%.

Now it is unusual for Moscow the situation when the rush to buy housing generally not worth it. This autumn showed that the rise in property prices yet nowhere. More likely, on the contrary, the continuation of a gradual slide in the General price level down. At least new buildings come on sale at prices below the market, the supply volume continues to grow, especially piling up already built but not yet sold the buildings, and in the secondary market difficult to sell without a significant discount.

In addition, over the next year will continue to get cheaper mortgages. It may be that everyone who buys an apartment in a little while, will make it even more profitable for those who could take advantage of the preferential mortgage.


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Legal services:  +7 (499) 391-57-55 ; +7 (916) 546-99-25 (hours)
Real estate services:   +7(499) 391-55-56
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+7 (977) 288 59-95
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